Website
Summary.Please click on the weather symbol at right for a summary of this
website which examines weather forecasting accuracy, sea level rise
consequences and long-term weather trends for Weymouth in Dorset.
How
reliable are the BBC website four-day weather forecasts for Weymouth? Only
about one in four forecasts are accurate. About half are bad,
e.g., forecasting a dry day when it actually rains. Simply assuming that
the weather in four days time will be broadly the same as today's
weather works about as well as the BBC forecasts.
Sea level
is rising around Weymouth. By
2050 sea levels in Weymouth
Harbour could be 250 - 300 mm above current values and perhaps more than
800 mm above current levels by 2100 putting much of Weymouth Town Centre
below Spring high tides. Click
the symbol at right for more detail.
Weymouth's
weather records analysed.
A dedicated team of Weather Observers has created an 80-year weather
archive for Weymouth. These have been collated and digitised through the phenomenal
efforts of Bob Poots, Weymouth's current Weather Recorder. Click
the symbol at right for more detail.
Temperature trends for Weymouth.
Global temperatures are rising due to Climate Change but Weymouth's
weather records show that the local rise may be five time faster than
predicted globally. Click
the symbol at right for more detail.
Sunshine trends for Weymouth.
Are Weymouth's skies becoming cloudier or clearer? The trend since the
1980s shows no significant change despite climate forecasters saying it
will be cloudier and stormier. Click the symbol at right for more
detail.
Rainfall trends for Weymouth.
Climate forecasters predict that Weymouth will become wetter in the
winter. The observed trend is for annual rainfall to stay the same. However, light rain
is falling on more days each year. Click the symbol at right for more
detail.
Cloud cover trends for Weymouth.
Climate Modellers forecast more cloud
and storms but the cloud cover has not changed significantly in Weymouth
over eight decades. Click the symbol at right for more detail.
Barometric pressure trends for Weymouth.
Climate
Modellers forecast increasing frequency of storms and lower barometric
pressure extremes but Weymouth's records show the opposite. The records
suggest that a fifty-year cycle is operating. Click
the symbol at right for more detail.
Wind speed trends for Weymouth. Climate
Modellers forecast increasing frequency of storms and higher wind
speeds. However, Weymouth's
records show winds reducing by 3 knots per decade on average. The 1970s
were much less windier in Weymouth than in other decades. Click
the symbol at right for more detail.
My weather-related local
photographs.
Click the symbol at right.
Links to
other relevant websites. Click
the symbol at right
Many
Thanks Bob! My very
grateful thanks go to Bob Poots, Weymouth's Weather recorder, who has
not only collected the daily weather records since 1997 but who has also
painstakingly transcribed over 28,000 days of weather records into
digital form and made these available to me.
My Other
Websites. To visit
my other websites please click on the cartoon of me at my computer.